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1969 2012
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The Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 1988
Maurice Allais
The Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 1988
Nobel Prize Award Ceremony
Maurice Allais
Autobiography
My
youth
I was born May 31, 1911, in Paris. My parents owned a small
cheese shop, and my maternal grandfather was a carpentry worker.
I thus came from what is commonly known as the working
class.
In August 1914, my father was called to war, and then taken
prisoner. He died in captivity in Germany on March 27, 1915. My
youth, indeed my entire life, was deeply marked by this, directly
and indirectly.
Albeit in often difficult conditions, I was nevertheless able to
pursue my secondary studies. I received my high school
baccalaureate diploma in Latin and Science in 1928, then my two
baccalaureate diplomas in Mathematics and Philosophy in 1929.
Throughout my college career I was generally first in my year in
almost all subjects, including French and Latin as well as
Mathematics.
Fascinated by History, I wanted to apply to the Ecole des
Chartes, but on the insistence of my mathematics teacher I
entered the special mathematics class in order to prepare for the
Ecole
Polytechnique, which I entered in 1931. I graduated first in
my class in 1933, which is commonly considered to be a "summum"
in France. Indeed, the Ecole Polytechnique, together with the
Ecole Normale
Superieure, are the top of French education in the
sciences.
My choice of a government administration upon graduation was the
"Corps National des Mines", not because of any particular
vocation, but simply because each year the top graduates of the
Ecole Polytechnique (three in my class) always chose this
government service because of the career possibilities it opened
up in the country's large industrial enterprises.
After a year of military service, first in the Artillery School
at Fontainebleau and then in the Alpine Army, and two years at
the Ecole
Nationale Superieure des Mines in Paris, I started as an
engineer in the mines public service in October 1936.
My professional career
In 1937, at the age of twenty
six, I found myself in charge of the Nantes Mines and Quarries
Service, which included five of the 89 French "departments", and
also put in charge of a number of controls, in particular that of
the general and local railway system.
In 1939, I was called back to the Alpine Army on the Italian
front, and was given command of a heavy artillery battery in the
area of Briancon. But the real war only lasted two weeks, from
June 10, 1940, when Italy declared war on France, until June 25,
1940, the date of the armistice.
Released from service, I took up my old position in Nantes in
July 1940 in the German occupation zone. From October 1943 to
April 1948 I was director of le Bureau of Mines Documentation and
Statistics in Paris.
From January 1941 to April 1948 I simultaneously carried out my
administrative functions and published my first works: two
fundamental works, A la Reserche d'une Discipline
Economique, (In Quest of an Economic Discipline), and
Economic et Interet (Economy and Interest, 1947); and
three minor works, Economic Pure et Rendement Social (Pure
Economics and Social Efficiency, 1945), Prolégomenes a la
Reconstruction économique du Monde (Prolegomena for the
World Economic Reconstruction, 1945), and Abondance ou
Misère (Abundance or Misery, 1946), as well as various
news articles. Throughout this period I worked very hard, at
least eighty hours per week.
From April 1948 on, I was relieved of all administrative duties
and was able to devote all my time to teaching, research, and
writing for publication. I was professor of Economic Analysis at
the "Ecole Nationale Superieure des Mines " from 1944 on,
and Director of a research unit at the "Centre de la Recherche
Scientifique " (C.N.R.S.) from 1946 on. At various times I
held teaching positions at other institutions, such as the
Institute of statistics at the University of Paris (1947-1968),
the Thomas Jefferson Center of the University of
Virginia as a Distinguished Visiting Scholar 1958 - 1959),
the Graduate
Institute of International Studies in Geneva (1967-l970), and
the University of Paris-X (1970-1985).
I retired from the civil service on May 31, 1980, but, thanks to
the Ecole Nationale Supérieure des Mines and the Centre
National de la Recherche Scientific, I have been able to keep
some means for working and to continue to in teaching, research,
and writing.
I have received many awards for my works (fourteen scientific
prizes from 1933 till 1987). The most important was the Gold
Medal of the National Center for Scientific Research
(C.N.R.S.), the most distinguished honour in French Science ( as
a rule there is only one Gold Medal every year for all sciences).
It was awarded to me in 1978 for my lifetime work, the first,
and, so far, the only time an economist has ever received this
honour.
My involvement in applied economics and politics
In
addition to the above activities I have undertaken economic
studies for both private and nationalized firms, and for
theEuropean Economic Community.
Throughout the years following World War II and until the
formation of the European Economic Community in 1958, I was very
active as a national or international rapporteur at many of the
international conferences aiming to establish an European
community. I also took part in various international conferences
with the view of the foundation of an Atlantic community and I
was rapporteur at the "NATO in Quest of Cohesion" international
conference organized in 1964 in Washington by the Center of
Strategic Studies of Georgetown University.
Finally, from 1959 to 1962, I was also founder and general
delegate to the Movement for a Free Society, a liberal (in
the European sense of the term) para-political
organization.
My contributions to economic science
My
contributions to the fundamental Economic Science have
essentially focused on five fields, all concerned with the
research of the conditions for a maximum efficiency of the
economy and with the analysis of the corresponding determining
factors of the distribution of income. I have given a broad
outline of these contributions in my Nobel Lecture.
My work in applied economics
On a national level and
in close connection with my work in economic analysis, I was led
to study, more particularly, four areas of applied economics:
economic management, the distribution of income and taxation,
monetary policy, and the economy of energy, of transport and of
mining research.
From the point of view of the management of the economy, the
demonstration of the equivalence of states of maximum efficiency
and states of equilibrium of an economy of markets (markets in
the plural) is naturally of great import. It shows indeed that
any economy whatsoever, whether collectivist or private property,
must be organized on the decentralized basis of an economy of
markets in order to be efficient and to use at best the scarce
resources at its disposal.
What are then the conditions of implementation of an economy of
markets? What are the ethical questions raised by such an
implementation? Can the techniques of an economy of markets and
the ethical aspirations of our time be reconciled? What are the
monetary conditions of growth? What are the conditions of full
employment? Such are the questions which I tried to answer. My
major conclusion was that both the economic and ethical
objectives of our time can be reached at the same time only if
the institutional framework within which the economy works is
appropriately reformed, and I have tried to specify the
principles for such a reform.
On the international level, the active part I took in various
organisations such as the European Union of Federalists, the
European Movement, the Movement for an Atlantic Union, and the
European Economic Communities, together with my lecturing for
several years at the Institute of International Studies in
Geneva, have led me to study thoroughly, in various works and
memoirs, the international factors of economic development, the
liberalisation of international trade, the monetary conditions of
international economic relations, and economic unions.
In my study of the factors of development, as well as in that of
the various economic systems, I was led to make numerous
researches on the compared real income and productivity of
France, the Soviet Union and the United States, to study in
detail the economies of these countries, and to analyse the
possible causes of the productivity differences observed. This
analysis shows that the main explanatory factors are their
systems of economic organisation together with the institutional
framework within which they operate.
At the same time, my contacts with administrative and industrial
circles led me to study, in my memoirs on the economy of energy,
of transport and of mining research, three series of questions
which I was asked on several times. What must the energy policy
of investments, exploitation and price be in order to be
considered effectively satisfactory? According to what principles
must a rational coordination and tariff policy of transports be
established? What is the optimal strategy to adopt for the mining
research of mineral deposits? All these problems led me to study
very diverse and concrete questions, and to reflect on numerous
aspects of economic theory, econometrics and operational
research. The - often new - solutions which I gave them gave rise
to many debates in engineering circles and led many engineers to
study economic theory and to apply it to their respective
fields.
For my 1952 memoir on mining research, published in English in
1957, I was awarded The Lanchester Prize 1958 of the Johns Hopkins
University and the Operations Research Society of America for
the outstanding paper, on Operations Research, published
in 1957.
All my works in applied economics are closely linked to my works
in economic analysis. Theoretical analysis naturally led me to
applications, and the study of concrete questions has led me to
reflect on the theoretical foundations from which it was possible
to provide satisfactory answers.
I have been constantly driven by the conviction that a man of
science cannot fail to take an interest in the fundamental
problems of his time. I have of course never ceased to think
that, whether as an adviser or a teacher, the economist as such
should not take a stand on individual ends which often are
contradictory. The ends to pursue belong to the field of politics
and it is in fact the essential task of political systems to
define them through overall compromises. But precisely, on the
economic level, the economist's role is to examine whether the
ends defined through such comprises are actually compatible with
each other and whether the means used to reach them are really
the most appropriate.
On the whole, on the level of the analysis as well as on the
level of applied economics, my work has endeavoured to rethink
the role of economic liberty and of an economy of markets as
regards the search for efficiency and the achievement of the
ethical objectives of our time, and to contribute to a thorough
study of the questions raised by the economic organisation of
societies.
There is no doubt that my works in applied economics have been
influenced by a philosophy of liberal inspiration (in the
European sense) along the lines of Alexis de Tocqueville, Leon
Walras, Vilfredo Pareto, and John Maynard Keynes, to name but a
few. But, whatever this influence may have been, I have
constantly endeavoured to keep my analyses on as objective and as
scientific a level as possible. In fact, all my works in applied
economics are particularly marked by two characteristics, the
first being that they are always founded on a thorough
theoretical analysis, the second that they are constantly
preoccuppied with the quantitative aspects of the questions
studied.
My two parallel interests
During my whole career since 1936, I have had two parallel
interests to which I have never ceased to devote an important
part of my activity: history and physics.
My research on the history of civilizations
It is in the course of my secondary studies that I first was
passionated for history. That passion has never left me
since.
From 1961 to 1968 I wrote the first version of a general book,
"Essor et déclin des civilisations-Facteurs
economiques" (Rise and Fall of Civilizations - Economic
Factors), which I have continued to improve and develop at
different times over the past twenty years. This work, as
ambitious as it is daring, tries to draw out permanent
regularities, particularly quantitative, from the history of
civilizations, dealing with economic systems, standards of
living, technology, monetary phenomena, demographic factors,
inequality and social classes, the respective influences of
heredity and environment, international relations, exogenous
physical influences on human societies, and political
systems.
My research on the economic and social factors of the history of
civilizations has been extremely enlightening for me. Nothing can
be more formative than the study of the history of facts,
doctrines and economic thought. Whether it be economic systems,
the evolution of real income, monetary phenomena, demography,
international relations, ideologies, or the interactions of these
factors and their relationships of cause and effect, nothing can
be more significant than their analysis.
My work in theoretical and experimental physics
My involvement in physics dates from my reflections on physics,
mechanics, and astronomy courses at the Ecole Polytechnique. Had
the National Centre for Scientific Research existed in 1938, I
would have devoted myself to the study of physics and would not
have become an economist.
But there again, over the past fifty years, while pursuing my
activities as an economist, I have never stopped reflecting and
working at various times on the problems involved in the
elaboration of a unified theory of gravitation, electromagnetism,
and quanta.
On the experimental level, and as a by-product of this
theoretical research, I conducted, from 1952 to 1960, experiments
on the anomalies of the paraconical pendulum (a short pendulum,
about one meter long, suspended by a steel ball), anomalies the
existence of which I proved. For these experiments I received the
1959 Galabert Prize of the French Astronautical Society, and I
was laureate in 1959 of the United States Gravity Research
Foundation.
My main idea at the start was that a link could be established
between magnetism and gravitation by observing the movements of a
pendulum consisting of a glass ball oscillating in a magnetic
field. Of all the observations made in 1952 and 1953 I was not
able to draw any definitive conclusion. Through certain
experimental devices, I obtained positive effects, but with other
devices I obtained no effect whatsoever. A much stronger magnetic
field would have been necessary, but it was unrealizable in my
laboratory with the available means.
But in the absence of any magnetic field other than that of the
earth, I observed, in the course of continuous observations,
pursued over periods of about one month from 1954 to 1960, very
remarkable anomalies in the movement of the paraconical pendulum,
to wit essentially the existence of a significant periodicity of
the order of 24 hrs 50 min. Identical results were found in
June-July 1958 in two laboratories, some 6 km away from each
other, one in a basement, the other in an underground
quarry.
At the same time, I observed in the second half of July 1958 a
correspondence between the anomalies in the movement of the
paraconical pendulum and the anomalies observed in the optical
sightings on a fixed sighting mark through a fixed
telescope.
Finally during the total eclipses of the sun on June 30, 1954,
and October 22, 1959, quite analogous deviations of the plane of
oscillation of the paraconical pendulum were observed.
In fact, all these phenomena are quite inexplicable within the
framework of the currently accepted theories.
With regard to all these results as well as to their analysis I
can make a prediction: if, without interruption, for at least one
month, in the same place and at the same time, observations of
the movement of the paraconical pendulum are made, together with
optical sightings such as those I made, as well as a repetition
of the Michelson-Morley (1887) and Miller (1925) experiments, the
purpose of which was to display the movement of the earth
relatively to the "ether", it will be found that the effects
observed by Miller in 1925 correspond to the anomalies in the
movement of the paraconical pendulum and the anomalies of the
optical sightings which I observed.
All my researches in theoretical and applied physics which, at
first sight, appear to be remote from my main activity as an
economist, have, in reality, enriched me with valuable
experience.
These researches, which constantly presented all kinds of very
great difficulties, have led me to reflect on the nature of our
knowledge, the nature of experience and theory, the difficulties
of experimentation and the interpretation of results, and the
scientific method in general.
I have been particularly struck by the identity of problems
relating to the construction of models and the meaning of
empirical data in economics and physics. Nothing has been more
instructive for me than this confrontation between two apparently
so dissimilar sciences.
From Les Prix Nobel. The Nobel Prizes 1988, Editor Tore Frängsmyr, [Nobel Foundation], Stockholm, 1989
This autobiography/biography was written at the time of the award and later published in the book series Les Prix Nobel/Nobel Lectures. The information is sometimes updated with an addendum submitted by the Laureate.
Copyright © The Nobel Foundation 1988
MLA style: "Maurice Allais - Autobiography". Nobelprize.org. 24 May 2013 http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economics/laureates/1988/allais-autobio.html
